In an important address today, US President Barack Obama will try to convince the Republican-led Congress that rejecting the nuclear agreement signed in Vienna on July 14, 2015 between the P5+1 and Iran would be a “historic mistake”. Many people now wonder what are the chances the Congress does so. Both inside and outside the United States, a number of high-profile people still doubt the deal can really prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the long run. For now, the White House said it has “seen some notable names come out in support of the agreement” including Iraq war veteran Seth Moulton (D-MA), Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Adam Schiff (D-CA), a ranking member of the House Armed Services Committee. What’s relevant is that such support all comes from Democrats exclusively.
Besides, in the meantime, House Foreign Affairs Chairman Ed Royce (R-CA) introduced a resolution of disapproval on the Iran deal, emphasizing that “every member must decide if this agreement truly makes (the USA) safer.” For Royce and many colleagues of his, the answer, of course, is no. A Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll found the US public opinion opposition to the deal has risen to 33%, up 16 points of percentage since June 2015. Moreover, a CBS News poll highlighted, 53% of the Americans believe the deal won’t be “very” or “at all” effective while 71% of Republicans and 41% of Democrats think a better deal could have been reached.
From the outset, Cyceon wrote that convincing the Americans and their allies could be harder than reaching a deal with Iran. One can’t say for sure what the Congress will decide, however, if the Congress decides according to opinion polls then the Iran Deal is at risk.