Ukraine’s setbacks help Russia to reach its goals

Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk announced his resignation, saying that “we cannot allow destabilization of the executive branch during a war.” Indeed, Ukraine remains at war with Russia despite real but fragile military respite on the ground.  The situation isn’t clear enough between the two belligerents for any strong peacebuilding process to concretize, and the current statu quo clearly benefits Russia.

Ukraine continued to denounce Russia as the aggressor and asked for modern weaponry from the United States and NATO in vain, while Russia continued to denounce what it considered as anti-Russian stances on behalf of Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko’s government and rejected the West’s partisan politics. Moscow put the Panama Papers forward as evidence of the West’s double standard. Russian leader Vladimir Putin hit the headlines of a large number of western media as an alleged indirect beneficiary of a Panamanian offshore company instead of his counterpart Poroshenko who’d be a direct beneficiary.

Beyond ongoing high tensions between Kiev and Moscow, Yatsenyuk’s resignation came after the Netherlands rejected by 61.1% of votes in a referendum European Union (EU) partnership deal to remove trade barriers with Ukraine. Before that Ukraine’s movement towards the EU appeared stopped dead, world finance expressed its concern about Ukraine’s slow progress “in improving governance and fighting corruption”, two requisite objectives for political stability and economic development in the country.

In absence of a long term solution to the conflict, the more the statu quo lasts, the more Ukraine is at risk of collapsing within itself, because of too many opposing interests between the groups of the pro-Western majority. Ukraine’s instability contrasts with Russia’s stability. Kiev loses, Moscow wins.