Tension is rising between Tehran and Washington

As forecast by Cyceon, the strengthening of the Republican majority in the US Congress and the election of Republican nominee Donald Trump at the White House could jeopardize the international agreement (JCPOA) signed in July 2015 between the major powers (P5+1) and Iran.

Described as “catastrophic” by Trump, the deal could well be renegotiated or simply ignored by the United States from January 20, 2017, the day the Trump administration takes office. The 10-year extension of the Iran Sanctions Act by the Senate last week and the appointment of General James Mattis as the next Defense Secretary have seriously reinforced such an assumption.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said his country would not allow Trump to weaken or rip up the deal, while his Foreign Minister Javad Zarif reminded the obligation of all parties, including the United States, to “fully implement it.” It is precisely on the implementation part that the Trump administration intends to attack the agreement arguing that Iran would not fulfill its obligations, especially in nuclear and military matters.

In Washington DC, a majority of elected officials believes that Iran is still playing a negative role in the Middle East despite its direct military involvement against the Islamic State (ISIS).