According to a confidential German government document obtained by the daily newspaper Bild, about six million “migrants” mainly from sub-Saharan Africa, the Horn of Africa and the Maghreb, would be ready to travel to the European Union (EU) departing from North Africa and Turkey. With insufficient border control capacities and a low rate of enforcement of deportation orders, entry into the EU generally guarantees every “migrants” to remain and then to exercise rights related to family reunification. Consequently, these six million “migrants” could, according to sources similar to those who wrote the report, turn into about 24 million individuals who would settle in Europe in the long term. However, other sources spoke of about two million “migrants”, three times less. Any aggravation of the migratory crisis would notably increase the political risk in Europe.
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