With “anti-ni-ni”, François Baroin anticipates and takes a political risk

The reciprocal agreement between François Baroin’s Les Républicains (LR) and Emmanuel Macron’s La République en Marche (LREM) could accentuate the division of the former and favor the victory of the latter in the upcoming legislative elections.

If it is clear why the two political parties wish to withdraw to the benefit of each other in order to prevent the election of Representatives from the Front National (FN) and La France Insoumise (LFI) in the National Assembly, the announcement of their agreement may prove premature.

It would repeat the mistake committed when immediately after his defeat in the first round of the presidential election, Francois Fillon called to vote for Emmanuel Macron in the second round. Not only do many LR voters remain angry following the politico-judicial maneuvers against Fillon, but such an agreement amplifies the FN’s claims that denounce the opposition between LREM and LR as fake and fight them as one same political group.

By seeking to deprive the FN and LFI of seats in the national assembly, Baroin takes the risk of dividing more the right-wing voters in search of coherence and unity. It would also reinforce the FN’s assertion that Marine Le Pen is the only real opponent against the “system” which would be embodied, she says, alternately by LR and LREM.