China and the U.S., towards an inevitable “war by constellation”?

The Huawei case is the visible tip of the iceberg, warned researchers and analysts who, in their respective think tanks, ministries and intelligence agencies, are responsible for crafting the big prospective scenarios of future international and strategic relations.

To summarize, the general consensus is that China and the United States will confront each other certainly and harshly – even militarily – during the century regardless of the outcome of the trade agreement that administrations Xi and Trump say they want to conclude.

The insecurity of the status of the world’s leading power for the United States and the growing ambitions of China would inevitably be on a collision course as demographic, technological, economic and military data illustrate the shift in the world’s center of gravity from the West to Asia.

If an open conflict seems impossible because of nuclear weapons, a multitude of events will probably animate the Sino-American relations with the risk of a major overflow that could lead to a situation on the brink of war.

So it is expected that it will be mainly in the direct vicinity of China, especially at sea, and in the cyberworld that the most sensitive points of tension between the two protagonists, one wanting to retain his leadership and the other wishing to challenge it, will emerge and will be fought for.

The Huawei case could therefore be nothing more than just one situation among thousands of others to come, thus generating a kind of war by constellation of supposedly weak points exploited opportunely by each of the parties.