On the eve of Brexit, UK economy appears quite strong

The likelihood of a vote in favor of the United Kingdom (UK)’s exit from the European Union (EU) was expected as an obvious disaster for 99% of economists, analysts and bankers. In June 2016, the UK did vote for the Brexit, launching a complex unprecedented...

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VIX: A meaningful discrepancy?

As political risk is mounting in Europe, just 24 hours away from the Netherlands’ general election and five weeks away from the French presidential election, Cyceon noticed a possibly meaningful discrepancy between the call options price of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and its calculation...

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Bill Ackman allegedly lost USD 2.8 billion in Valeant

Investor activist Bill Ackman and his Pershing Square Capital Management (PSH) firm, famous for their fight against Herbalife (HLF) which they deemed a pyramid scheme, would have lost up to USD 2.8 billion. Holding approximately 18.1 million shares and 9.1 million call options of Valeant...

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GLEN: Taking heat from oil slide

Switzerland-based producer and marketer of commodities Glencore (GLEN) whose stock enjoyed an incredible recovery throughout 2016 (+ 124% YOY) could be questioning its bullish trend. Indeed, in line with a sharp drop in oil prices within the last 7 days from around USD 53.50 to...

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Towards 4 rate hikes by Yellen’s Fed in 2017?

The US labor market figures are so good that they would already meet the criteria set by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to define a situation of “full employment”. With 235,000 jobs created and a 0.2% increase in the average hourly wage in January 2017, the...

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Again, no real consensus on the ECB’s policy

Following ECB top chiefs’ latest press conference, some analysts thought that the ECB signaled the accommodative monetary policy (QE) will be ending while some other analysts said the ECB just opted for business as usual, meaning a smooth continuation of the QE. “Based on our...

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The overall situation in Afghanistan is deteriorating

The overall security context in Afghanistan is not statistically worse than it was before, but the sophistication of operations and the choice of targets by local militant groups are worrying. After the attack on the headquarters of Afghan intelligence services (NDS) in southeastern Kabul on...

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XOM: Long forecast, good dividend

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)’s stock may soon reflect rising expectations in the oil markets. Indeed, there’s good reason to believe that there is a good potential of upside in the medium term, with an interesting dividend yield of 3.50%. XOM’s stock is currently hovering over...

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Libya’s instability could help OPEC reach target

Political uncertainty and the acceleration of armed confrontations in Libya could push the price of oil a little higher. As OPEC tries to enforce the agreement to cut oil production with a view to a lasting rise in the price of oil’s barrel, the weakness...

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Venezuela facing food shortage, dire economic conditions

While Brazil and Argentina are heading towards economic recovery despite ongoing challenges, Venezuela is said to be plunging deeper into crisis. The Latin American country that owns the world’s largest oil reserves is running out of cash, analysts said. From USD 30 billion in reserves...

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