Towards 4 rate hikes by Yellen’s Fed in 2017?

The US labor market figures are so good that they would already meet the criteria set by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to define a situation of “full employment”. With 235,000 jobs created and a 0.2% increase in the average hourly wage in January 2017, the...

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Impending rate hike by the Fed?

“At our meeting later this month, the Committee (FOMC) will evaluate whether employment and inflation are continuing to evolve in line with our expectations, in which case a further adjustment of the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate,” said Federal Reserve (Fed)’s Chair Janet […]

Yellen focused on productivity gains

“Ongoing gains in the labor market have been accompanied by a further moderate expansion in economic activity. US real GDP is estimated to have risen 1.9 percent last year, the same as in 2015,” Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Janet Yellen told the US Senate Committee […]

No monetary policy at face value

In a speech given on February 11, 2017, the US Federal Reserve (Fed)’s Vice-chairman Stanley Fischer provided several precious clues about how the Fed – and notably its Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – takes its decisions. Considering that the economy is very complex, Fischer […]

Get ready for three main challenges ahead in 2017

After 2016 that was really a year full of dangers in line with Cyceon’s assessment, 2017 could prove a year of both increasing risks and deep changes. Two most unexpected events took the world by surprise: the Brexit in June 2016 and Donald Trump’s election...

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Higher Rate, Oil are two very bad news for Europe

In January 2015, the decline of more than 60% in oil prices combined with historically low interest rates and the significant weakening of the euro (EUR) against the dollar (USD) provided Europe with a priori favorable conditions. The rare aggregation of these positive exogenous factors...

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Between Trump and the Fed, everything’s possible

Looking ahead to the upcoming Fed rate hike, the US dollar (USD) is expected to continue rising at least in the short term after the Dollar Index (DXY) already gained 8% over the last 3 months. While indicators of a healthy national economy accumulate in...

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